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<a href="http://blog.quotidiano.net/category/articolo-1/">Articolo 1</a> &gt; #finedelmondo: fra dieci anni Facebook non conterà (quasi) più nulla</div></div>
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<article class="">			<h1 class="titleBig">#finedelmondo: fra dieci anni Facebook non conterà (quasi) più nulla</h1>
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                <span class="author">di <a class="author" href="http://blog.quotidiano.net/ferri">Franca Ferri</a></span>
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	<a href="http://blog.quotidiano.net/category/articolo-1/">Articolo 1</a>,
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			<div class="description"><p>Ogni tanto gli &#8216;esperti&#8217; analisti del web assomigliano ai cartomanti: sparano previsioni a casaccio. La cosa interessante è che entrambi trovano sempre qualcuno che li ascolta. <strong>Stavolta la &#8216;previsione&#8217; è da fine del mondo</strong> (oggi le suggestioni Maya si sprecano): <strong>fra dieci anni Facebook non sarà più un attore dominate del web</strong>. Il declino della creatura di Zuckerberg seguirà il percorso già visto con Yahoo, che a inizio degli anni 2000 sembrava inaffondabile e oggi vale un decimo di quel che valeva allora.</p>
<p>L&#8217;analisi è quella di <strong>tale Eric Jackson, fondatore della Ironfire Capital, intervistato dal network CNBC</strong>. Ecco l&#8217;analisi che sta alla base di questa &#8216;profezia&#8217;: siamo alla terza generazione di web companies. La prima è stata quella dei grandi portali che aggregavano contenuti (Yahoo dieci anni fa); la seconda è quella dei social network (Facebook e tutti gli altri); e la terza è quella del mondo <em>mobile</em>, anzi delle <strong>società web focalizzate sul produrre profitti dal mobile</strong>. Secondo Jackson, per una webcompany nata in una generazione è molto difficile, se non impossibile, evolversi da una generazione all&#8217;altra (vedi i tentativi non proprio riusciti di Google per sfondare nel mondo social). Quindi Facebook è destinata al declino.</p>
<p>Vero? Falso? <strong>Chissà se c&#8217;era scritto anche questo, nella stele rovinata a Tortuguero</strong> (nel Tabasco, il profondo sud del Messico) o nei dipinti <strong>parietali nella &#8220;Sala degli Affreschi&#8221; a Mayapan</strong> (per chi è digiuno di profezie Maya: entrambi prevedono la &#8216;fine del mondo&#8217; al compimento dei 13 Bakun del &#8216;Conto lungo&#8217;, cioè più o meno oggi, 5 giugno 2012, in concomitanza con il transito di Venere sul Sole; in alternativa potete tenere buona la data del 21 dicembre, che da anni viene indicata come vera deadline per i Maya. Gurdacaso sia stele che affreschi sono rovinati e illegibili&#8230;).</p>
<p><strong>Facciamo una cosa seria:</strong> buttiamo via i maya e gli analisti delle tendenze web, per favore!</p>
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<a rel="tag">Facebook</a><br />
<a rel="tag">fine del mondo</a><br />
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